The Financial Crisis For Dummies

Foreclosure

Senior editor of Marketplace.publicradio.org Paddy Hirsch has been doing some good old stick figure dry erase explanations of the forces behind our present financial situation. There are some pretty amusing analogies involved at times. All in all, while they’ve raised even more questions as I’ve watched them, they’re a good introduction to what’s caused the problems. Enjoy…

The Credit Crisis


The credit crisis as Antarctic expedition from Marketplace on Vimeo.

Collateralized Debt Obligations


Crisis explainer: Uncorking CDOs from Marketplace on Vimeo.

Credit Default Swaps


Untangling credit default swaps from Marketplace on Vimeo.

Short Selling


Getting naked in short selling from Marketplace on Vimeo.

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My Lids, Yo

brphoto4

So my ballcap obsession has finally come to fruition. After a long period of self-restraint (only one purchase for cheap on eBay that didn’t even end up fitting…duh) I finally fell off and had to have the headgear to root for my teams. Aside from the Celtics eBay bomb (which is a one-of-a-kind for which I have no image and which is an awesome hat that makes my skull sad when it gets all python on my dome), here’s the collection thus far…

Denver Donkeys

Bosstown Celtics

Bodymore Murdaland

And up next on the purchasing queue…

The T-Dot

Rocktober

The 'Aints

LSU

Royale With Cheese

And maybe by the time I actually feel like spending more money on caps, the NBA will have gotten their act together and made something for the Nuggets and the Hornets that’s actually wearable. Although, this take on the vintage Nuggets logo is a contender in its own right, thanks to maybe the best independent cap producer around, ecapcity.com…

Nuggets

Here’s another example of their brilliant work. This cap might be the coolest cap ever. look at that embroidery! If they ever make this in my size again, you can bet your ass I’m buying it pronto…

Expos

Alright, enough fetishism. I’m out.

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La Vida No Vale Nada

Vicente Fernandez

Most of my coworkers are from Mexico. At lunchtime we all crowd around a little circular table and they turn on the radio and teach me about the music I hear. So far I can definitely pick up on familiar songs and on artists I like. One of them, which is my friends’ favorite, is Vicente Fernandez, “el numero uno en Mexico”. This song, “Un Millon De Primaveras”, has really caught my attention.

This is another nice one. I love the video style and how the young girl doesn’t seem very comfortable looking into the camera for long.

The other night, I met a guy who said Jose Alfredo Jimenez was his favorite and I should check him out. This is the standout so far, “Camino De Guanajuato”.

That opening line has such a rich sound to it, the phrasing such perfect symmetry, and, visually, so many nice lines. Hope you enjoy.

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SNL Enters New Dimension Of Weird

Palin SNL

America is the weirdest place ever on Saturday nights. On the one hand, Tina Fey’s Palin impersonations make for great comedy (i.e. reality). On the other hand, who cares about comedy with all the seriously scary stuff hanging over this election? What effect can jokes really have on American politics? As amusing as The Daily Show and The Colbert Report can be, what good is an in-crowd laughing together while conservatives try and steamroll over everyone in their way? Maybe it’s done a lot of good to quell liberal anxiety. I can’t really step outside of my limited historical perspective right now. But one thing I do know is that from this point on, there are no more rules. These latest Saturday night-moves are so meta it’s flabbergasting: they seemed to have tapped into a way to steer this election with comedy and in a palpable, immediate way.

First off, inviting Sarah Palin onto the show sounded like a double dare. Alright, I don’t know who asked whom, but it’s a bet, right? Palin’s thinking she can penetrate the liberal media and come across as a little more likeable to the swing voters in the hopes of picking up some extra momentum coming into the home stretch. SNL? Well I’m guessing they’re reeling in the ratings surge that must be happening with the Palin skits and thinking that the only way to top their previous performance is to bring out the real McCoy (sounds dangerously close to “the real McCain”). Also, I’m guessing they think they can put one over on Palin and have a chance to mock her while she smiles and corroborates. And from all appearances, boy did they succeed in that.

They convinced Sarah Palin to hang out while they made fun of her to her face on national television. Whoever is in charge of the McCain-Palin campaign is out of their minds. That was not brave. That was not smart. That was a trap. And they fell for it. I definitely have no faith in the McCain-Palin ticket’s ability to run our country. They’re drowning and desperate and trying anything, even if it’s almost certain to blow up in their faces. Just watch these videos! It’s amazing.

But it clearly doesn’t stop at Palin. They bring in Mark Wahlberg too! After getting all upset at a stupid (asinine but pretty funny) skit of Wahlberg talking to animals, Wahlberg is somehow coerced to come onto the show and resolve the problem only to validate the jokes. Amazing. For all of McCain’s complaints that talking without precondition with Iran would only give them leverage, here SNL is having its critics onto the show only to bolster the humor at the guests’ expense. Admittedly, there’s not as much at stake with Marky Mark. But Palin? If she didn’t get that the joke’s on her, she’s more dense than I ever imagined. Here are the bonus features…

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Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It)

Beyonce

Holy moly. This new Beyonce song was just alright for the first verse the first time I heard it. Then the chorus popped in and it was pretty sweet until it didn’t progress like I thought it might. Then, second listen, it was all on its own terms. Now I can’t stop listening to it. It’s in my head real bad all the time with those bizarre future-synth love-sounds blooping and revving and blasting here and there. It’s the jam. As soon as I finish this BR album, I want to make music like this. They even turn the beat around for the bridge. It’s so weird. And so awesome. Here’s the video with Beyonce totally outshining her backup dancers with the righteous swagger of her booty. Check out the crazy robotic bling gauntlet she’s rocking…

And here is the song to download if you so choose. Enjoy.

Beyonce – Single Ladies (Put A Ring On It)

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John McCain Hates Black People

Election

Well, okay. As all of our mothers have said, “hate” is a strong word. But can we just take a moment to puzzle about a couple of brief comments McCain made in the debate last night? If he doesn’t hate black people, maybe he just doesn’t think they know anything about our economy and don’t deserve to live the American dream…

The first question from the audience was an older white man named Alan asking “With the economy on the downturn and retired and older citizens and workers losing their incomes, what’s the fastest, most positive solution to bail these people out of the economic ruin?” Both candidates kind of danced around the specific question to talk about the general economic problem and what has to be done in the next presidency. And that was fine on both their parts. No real surprise. Nothing much out of the ordinary.

Then came the second question from a young black man named Oliver in the audience. It was: “Well, Senators, through this economic crisis, most of the people that I know have had a difficult time. And through this bailout package, I was wondering what it is that’s actually going to help those people out.” Okay. John McCain’s turn to answer. He corrects the use of the term “bailout” when he considers it a “rescue”. Fair enough. It’s important for the candidates to change public opinion about this bill and word choice is a part of that. But then he goes on to talk about the mortgage crisis and specifically Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, saying to Oliver “I’ll bet you, you may never even have heard of them before this crisis.” Umm. Maybe he would have said that to an older white person. Who knows? Regardless, it’s a dangerous move he could have easily avoided. But what really got me was the ending of his answer, which went on to say the following. “That’s why we’re going to have to go out into the housing market and we’re going to have to buy up these bad loans and we’re going to have to stabilize home values, and that way, Americans, like Alan, can realize the American dream and stay in their homes.”

What?! “Americans, like Alan”? What about Oliver, to whom McCain’s speaking, a young black man who’s asked about his and the people he knows’ problems? Instead of speaking about them realizing the American dream, McCain goes back to the older white man who asked the first question, which never mentioned him owning a home at all. Not at all! This young black guy could own his home and you’d never know it because McCain’s just decided Oliver’s less likely than Alan to own a home. And it comes close to sounding like McCain thinks older white folks have more right to and capacity for the American dream than do young black folks. That’s not right. And that’s definitely not how you behave when you respond to an undecided voter’s question in a town hall debate. In nearly every other question, the candidates included the questioner in the answer; in this McCain manages to exclude him outright.

It may have been a gaffe. It might have been the same answer he would have given to anyone. But it was the answer he gave to a young black man. Is he seriously going to be stupid enough to stoke the race fire in a presidential election in which his opponent is a young black man? It doesn’t help that McCain keeps telling Obama he doesn’t understand anything about foreign policy.

Decide for yourself. Watch here and tell me what you think. You can click on the section of the transcript you want to watch and it will take you right there. So go straight to the second audience member’s question and see what I mean. It’s weird and it really got me more heated than anything else that happened in the debate. And no one seems to be talking about it.

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Wye Oak

Wye Oak

I’m really feeling this Wye Oak video. It’s got the super cute 90s indie rock thing with the Breeders-esque vocals and the explosive noise contrast. And the abrupt ending is great. They’re a Baltimore duo easily categorizable with Beach House but really unlike Beach House musically. Merge is putting out their album and you can download four more songs from their website. I recommend “Warning” and “Regret”. Enjoy.

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Sarah Palin on CBS and SNL

Sarah Palin

So I haven’t written much about Palin on this here blog. I would have said a whole lot if I had been in writing moods. Mostly I’ve been in reading moods. But it’s time I make it clear that I can’t believe John McCain picked that woman to be his VP. It’s absolutely insane. She’s so underqualified it’s ridiculous. And he’s an idiot. As expected, after the wave of infatuation with her has subsided, here true mastery of the issues becomes clear: it’s next to nothing. I’ve slapped my forehead bruised at her attempts to seem like she’s even remotely in her league. And I’ve laughed a great deal at the SNL spoofs of her as well (Tina Fey is brilliant!). So for a little comic relief from this truly unbelievable election, here they are if you haven’t seen them yet.

Palin vs. Clinton…

Couric vs. Palin (cringe-worthy performances for background)…

SNL vs. Palin (there’s really not much new material here…Palin’s got it all taken care of)…

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The New cegolden.com

Untitled - C.E. Golden

So I’ve finally updated C-Major’s website. Now you can see what she’s been up to. It’s got her most recent paintings and her new metalsmithing wares. And you can even buy stuff now too. Holy moly. Check it out at cegolden.com. Also, we’ll be photographing some of the new new stuff soon so bookmark it or something.

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Sorkin On The Bailout

I’ve enjoyed Andrew Ross Sorkin’s work for the New York Times over the last several months as I try to grasp a little more about economics generally and the financial crisis specifically. On September 23, 2008, he wrote an article called “A Bailout Above the Law” that gets into some of the details and problems of the new bailout as well as some of the ramifications. Here it is in full…

The passage is stunning.

“Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency,” the original draft of the proposed bill says.

And with those words, the Treasury secretary — whoever that may be in a few months — will be with vested with perhaps the most incredible powers ever bestowed on one person over the economic and financial life of the nation. It is the financial equivalent of the Patriot Act.

Treasury Secretary Henry M. Paulson Jr.’s $700 billion proposal to bail out Wall Street is both the biggest rescue and the most amazing power grab in the history of the American economy.

In many ways, it is classic Wall Street: a big, bold roll of the dice that one trade can save the day. But at the same time, the hypocrisy is thick. The lack of transparency and oversight that got our financial system in trouble in the first place seems written directly into the proposed bill, known as TARP, or the Troubled Asset Relief Program.

Just take a look at the original draft: “The Secretary is authorized to take such actions as the Secretary deems necessary to carry out the authorities in this act,” the proposed bill read when it was first presented to Congress, “without regard to any other provision of law regarding public contracts.”

It goes on to say, “Any funds expended for actions authorized by this Act, including the payment of administrative expenses, shall be deemed appropriated at the time of such expenditure.”

Slowly but surely, as new versions of the bill are making the rounds in Washington, some legislators are pressing to include new language to give them at least a modicum of oversight. Democrats have complained that the bill gives the Treasury Department “a blank check” — and they’re right.

But given the rush to push the bill through, even if Congress cobbles together some oversight language, it will almost surely be inadequate. Joshua Rosner, a managing director at Graham Fisher & Company, says TARP should stand for “Total Abdication of Responsibility to the Public.” He says it is “a clear abdication of all Congressional oversight and fiscal authorities to a secretary of Treasury that has bungled this crisis from the beginning.”

He argues that the bill grants “greater powers to the secretary of the Treasury than even the president enjoys.”

The bigger issue is that the bill effectively creates protections not just for the Treasury, but for the executives on Wall Street who created this near Armageddon. Mr. Rosner says that the draft bill “prevents judicial review that could allow the protection of decisions that create false marks, hide prior marks, or could be used to prevent civil or criminal prosecution in situations where a management knowingly provided false marks that aided the growth of this crisis of confidence.”

False marks — using mark-to-market accounting to hide the true value of security, rather than disclose it honestly — has a lot to do with why Jeffrey Skilling, the former Enron chief executive, is in jail.

It is absolutely true, of course, that Mr. Paulson needed to do something. By Thursday afternoon, less than 48 hours after the bailout of the American International Group, the financial system was near meltdown. The mere rumor that Mr. Paulson and the Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke were devising a big bailout fund cause the stock market to soar.

In truth, I’m not sure I agree with Mr. Rosner’s assessment of Mr. Paulson’s job performance. I think he is one of the most competent Treasury secretaries we’ve ever had, and it is hard to imagine anyone else handling this crisis any better. His predecessors, who lacked his grounding in the world of high finance, would most likely have been like deer in headlights.

And when Mr. Paulson says, as he did on all the talk shows on Sunday, “I hate the fact that we have to do it, but it’s better than the alternative,” I believe him. (It would have looked better, of course, if he had come up with this plan before it looked as if his former firm, Goldman Sachs, was in jeopardy.)

But the question on the table now is whether the government’s latest response to this crisis — the way it has been constructed, and frankly, the way it is being crammed down everyone’s throat at the eleventh hour — is the right approach. Already the market has its doubts; just look at its performance on Monday.

Let put aside the bill’s most offensive aspect — the raw power it gives the Treasury Department, and the lack of oversight it provides — and take a closer look at the practicalities. First off, there is nothing in the bill that will prevent these problems from happening again. The bill doesn’t address adding greater transparency in investments in subprime loans and securities and credit derivatives, which led directly to the debacles at Lehman and A.I.G. The bill does nothing to rein in the credit-default swap market, which has turned out to be the weapon of financial mass destruction that Warren Buffett always said it was.

Nor are the Democrats going to help matters with their own changes. It is all well and good that they hope to use the bill to restrain executive compensation, and add stipulations to help people in danger of losing their homes. But nothing the Democrats have suggested so far tackles the core issues of oversight, transparency or regulation.

Of course, the sickest part is that Wall Street is lining up at the trough for a piece of the action, lobbying to run some of the $700 billion fund — and take huge fees — for their own mess.

However the bailout is structured, no matter what safeguards are put in place, it is likely to be a conflicted mess. How can we possibly trust that the price the government agrees to buy the securities will be fair?

And then there is the jockeying among the banks so they can sell their absolute worst stuff to the government — even loans that have nothing to do with mortgages — and change the rules in the process. The Financial Services Roundtable, which represents big financial services companies, wrote an e-mail message to members on Sunday suggesting, laughably, that “the government bid for the assets should not count as a mark-to-market value for accounting purposes.”

In other words, if the government drives a hard bargain — as it should — the banks don’t have to take write-downs based on the price the feds pay to take junk off their balance sheets.

Watching Wall Street double-dip makes even some in the industry’s top tier cringe.

“Maybe I should move to Russia,” one titan of finance said to me. “It’s obscene, the whole thing. I’m embarrassed for myself.”

Actually, I’ve got a better suggestion: Venezuela.

On Friday last week, Hugo Chávez, the Socialist president of Venezuela, gave a speech in Caracas where, according to Reuters, he said, “The United States has spent $900 billion, four times what the Venezuela produces in a year, to try to boost the troubled finance system and housing market.”

Gloating, he added: “They have criticized me, especially in the United States, for nationalizing a great company, CANTV, that didn’t even cost $1.5 billion.”

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